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The R package lmSubsets for flexible and fast exact variable-subset selection is introduced and illustrated in a weather forecasting case study. Read more ›
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A flexible framework for probabilistic forecasting of circular data is introduced, using distributional regression trees and random forests based on the von Mises distribution. Read more ›
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Modular R tools for Bayesian regression are provided by bamlss: From classic MCMC-based GLMs and GAMs to distributional models using the lasso or gradient boosting. Read more ›
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The effect of covariates on correlations in psychometric networks is assessed with either model-based recursive partitioning (MOB) or conditional inference trees (CTree). Read more ›
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The significance tests underlying the unbiased tree algorithms CTree, MOB, and GUIDE are embedded into a unifying framework. This allows to assess relative strengths and weaknesses in a variety of setups, highlighting the advantages of score-based tests (as in CTree/MOB) vs. residual-based tests (as in GUIDE). Read more ›
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Personalized treatment effects can be estimated easily with model-based trees and model-based random forests using the R package model4you. Read more ›
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Economic growth models are recursively partitioned to assess heterogeneity in growth and convergence across EU regions while adjusting for spatial dependencies. Accompanied by R package lagsarlmtree, combining partykit::mob and spdep::lagsarlm. Read more ›
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In a new paper in Monthly Weather Review, minimum CRPS and maximum likelihood estimation are compared for fitting heteroscedastic (or nonhomogenous) regression models under different response distributions. Minimum CRPS is more robust to distributional misspecification while maximum likelihood is slightly more efficient under correct specification. An R implementation is available in the crch package. Read more ›
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The PALM tree algorithm for partially additive (generalized) linear model trees is introduced along with the R package palmtree. One potential application is modeling of treatment-subgroup interactions while adjusting for global additive effects. Read more ›
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Boosted binary generalized additive models (GAMs) with stability selection and corresponding MCMC-based credibility intervals are discussed in a new MWR paper as a probabilistic forecasting method for the occurrence of thunderstorms. Read more ›