Tag: UEFA

Probabilistic forecasting for the UEFA Women's Euro 2022

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Using a consensus model based on quoted bookmakers' odds winning probabilities for all competing teams in the UEFA Women's Euro are obtained: The favorite is Spain, followed by host England, France, and the Netherlands as the defending champion. Read more ›

Updated forecasts for the UEFA Euro 2020 knockout stage

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After all group stage matches at the UEFA Euro 2020 we have updated the knockout stage forecasts by re-training our hybrid random forest model on the extended data. This shows that England profits most from the realized tournament draw. Read more ›

Evaluation of the UEFA Euro 2020 group stage forecast

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A look back on the group stage of the UEFA Euro 2020 to check whether our hybrid machine learning forecasts based were any good... Read more ›

Working paper for the UEFA Euro 2020 forecast

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A working paper describing the data and methods used for our probabilistic UEFA Euro 2020 forecast, published earlier this week, is available now. Additionally, details on the predicted performance of all teams during the group stage are provided. Read more ›

Hybrid machine learning forecasts for the UEFA Euro 2020

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Probabilistic forecasts for the UEFA Euro 2020 are obtained by using a hybrid model that combines data from four advanced statistical models through random forests. The favorite is France, followed by England and Spain. Read more ›