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Probabilistic forecasts for the 2022 FIFA World Cup are obtained by using a hybrid model that combines data from three advanced statistical models through random forests. The favorite is Brazil, followed by Argentina, Netherlands, Germany, and France. Read more ›
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Using a random forest ensemble learner we obtain probabilistic forecasts for the FIFA Women's World Cup in France: The clear favorite is defending champion USA followed, with some margin, by host France, England, and Germany. Read more ›
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A look back the 2018 FIFA World Cup in Russia to check whether our tournament forecast based on the bookmaker consensus model was any good... Read more ›
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The probabilistic forecast from the bookmaker consensus model for the 2018 FIFA World Cup is visualized in an interactive Sankey diagram, highlighting the teams' most likely progress through the tournament. Read more ›
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Using a consensus model based on quoted bookmakers' odds winning probabilities for all competing teams in the FIFA World Cup are obtained: The favorite is Brazil, closely followed by the defending World Champion Germany. Read more ›